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bayesian_thinking [2019/03/25 13:04] (current)
admin created
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 +====== Bayesian Thinking ======
  
 +Bayesian thinking is built around probabilistic thinking: ‘what is the likelihood of this being correct?​’. As new information is learned, incorporate that with the old and adjust the estimated probabilities accordingly.
 +
 +Beware of recency bias. Just because information is new does not make it more factual or accurate than older information.
 +
 +Bayesian thinking allows for greyscale beliefs. Confidence fluctuates as new information is brought to bear.
 +
 +===== External Links =====
 +
 +https://​fs.blog/​2018/​09/​bayes-theorem/​
bayesian_thinking.txt · Last modified: 2019/03/25 13:04 by admin